A spot in the 2026 NCAA Tournament men’s national championship game is on the line when the West Region champion Arizona Wildcats take on the Midwest Region champion Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, April 4, in the 2026 Final Four. Arizona advanced with a 79-64 win over Purdue in the Elite Eight, while Michigan cruised past Tennessee 95-62. The Wildcats (36-2), who won the Big 12 Conference regular season at 16-2 and the conference tournament championship, are 14-2 against ranked opponents. The Wolverines (35-3), who won the Big Ten regular season at 19-1, are 11-2 against ranked foes.

Tipoff from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis is set for 8:49 p.m. ET. The Wolverines are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Michigan vs. Arizona odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 157.5. Before making any Michigan vs. Arizona picks, check out the Michigan vs. Arizona predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the 2026 Elite Eight on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-22 run on top-rated CBB side picks.

Now, the model has simulated Michigan vs. Arizona 10,000 times and just revealed its college basketball picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college basketball odds and college basketball lines for Arizona vs. Michigan:

Top Michigan vs. Arizona predictions

After 10,000 simulations of Arizona vs. Michigan, SportsLine’s model is going Under on the total (157.5 points). The Under hit in the last meeting between the schools. The Under has hit in 22 of the 38 Michigan games, and in two of the last three Arizona games. The Under has also hit in nine of the last 13 Michigan games against teams who average 72 or more points.

The model projects the Wolverines to have just three players to score in double digits, led by Yaxel Lendeborg, who is projected to score 16.7 points. The Wildcats are expected to be led in scoring by Brayden Burries, who is projected to score 15 points, one of just three players in double figures. The model is projecting 157 combined points as the Under clears in 56% of simulations. You can get the spread pick at SportsLine.

How to make Arizona vs. Michigan picks

Now, the model simulated every possession of Arizona vs. Michigan 10,000 times and says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Michigan vs. Arizona, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Michigan vs. Arizona spread to back, all from the advanced model that just simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.

President Donald Trump signed an executive order Friday designed to limit how long athletes can play college sports and how often they can transfer between schools.

The order directs the NCAA to create rules that mandate college athletes can play for “no more than a five-year period” and allows them to transfer schools only once before they graduate without having to sit out a season. The rule changes are scheduled to go into effect Aug. 1. A school that plays an athlete who doesn’t meet these new limits could risk losing its federal funding.

The order also states that the NCAA should update its rules to create a national registry for player agents and create policies that prevent schools from cutting scholarships or other opportunities for women’s and Olympic sports in order to pay their athletes.

“College sports cannot function without clear, agreed-upon rules concerning pay-for-play and player eligibility that can’t be endlessly challenged in court, as is the case now,” the White House said in a news release about the order.

Multiple lawyers who work with colleges and their athletes told ESPN they believe that judges would rule the president’s order to be unconstitutional and unenforceable if challenged in court.

NCAA president Charlie Baker said during a media availability in Phoenix before the Women’s Final Four that he had not read the entire executive order yet, but from what he saw on social media, “there’s a bunch of things in there that are pretty consistent with the things we’ve been talking to them and to Congress about.”

“We need congressional action to sort of seal the deal on a number of these things, which is good because we do, and getting a bipartisan agreement on a number of those issues would be a really big thing,” Baker said. “Based on my own conversations with a lot of Democrats and Republicans in Washington over the course of the past month or two, I do think there’s a lot of common ground there.”

Asked why the NCAA needs an executive order to help solve its issues, Baker said, “On some of these issues, it’s hard for us to do this without at least some support from the feds. The courts are one way to settle the debate, but it takes a really long time, and it creates a lot of uncertainty.”

Trump acknowledged that his administration would likely be sued when he first mentioned his plans for an executive order during a roundtable with college sports leaders in early March. Trump has used the threat of pulling federal funds from universities as a negotiating tactic and as an effort to enforce other policies during his second term, with mixed success. In September, a federal judge prevented the Trump administration from withholding federal funds from Harvard as punishment for the university’s decision not to comply with an executive order related to alleged antisemitic behavior on campus.

Trump has expressed interest in helping the college sports industry find its balance multiple times in the past year. Several dozen college sports leaders joined Trump and other sports executives at the White House roundtable discussion in early March in search of a way for the federal government to restore some power to the NCAA and its schools. Trump said at that meeting that he intended to write an executive order within a week that would “solve every problem in this room.”

The NCAA has struggled to enforce its rules since a Supreme Court decision in 2021 made clear that the organization was not exempt from antitrust laws, which prevent any group of businesses from colluding to limit the earning potential of their labor market.

Since then, the organization has changed its rules to allow athletes to transfer every year and has had mixed results in fighting dozens of lawsuits filed by athletes who wanted to continue playing after their eligibility expired. Current NCAA rules allow athletes to play four seasons during a five-year window.

Friday’s order is the second attempt from the Trump administration to use its executive power to create some change in college sports. His first order, signed in July 2025, did not have any notable impact on how the industry is governed. Multiple college sports stakeholders told ESPN they hope the new order serves as a powerful signal to Congress, which has the ability to provide more meaningful and durable change.

After more than five years of discussing options and proposing bills, neither the U.S. House nor the Senate has held a full vote on any legislation related to college sports. The House has twice delayed a vote on a bill known as the SCORE Act since September. Sources told ESPN this week that the bill could be amended and reintroduced at some point in April.

In the Senate, Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Maria Cantwell are actively negotiating in hopes of producing a bipartisan bill this spring, according to sources on Capitol Hill. Cruz told ESPN earlier this year that it was “absolutely critical” that new legislation include language that would prevent college athletes from being deemed employees of their school. Several Democrats believe employment and collective bargaining is the best route to finding a sustainable future for college sports. Sources said the employment debate remains as one of the largest obstacles to reaching a compromise.

“This Executive Order identifies some of the key issues facing college sports, including continued funding for women’s and Olympic sports,” Cantwell said. “Congress should continue to have bipartisan discussions about how to increase revenue to meet these goals. I’m glad to know the President wants Congress to pass something.”

The president’s executive order does not address employment or other major unresolved issues in college sports, such as a push from Cantwell to reshape how schools share the revenue from their television contracts.

ESPN’s Andrea Adelson contributed to this report.