Women’s basketball tournament: Odds, spreads, totals and BPI projections for Monday’s games

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The 2026 women’s tournament bracket has been trimmed by 48 teams with one more day of second-round action to go to set the field of 16 that will play a second week.

Title favorite UConn headlines the three top seeds playing today. Thue Huskies are favored by 35.5 over Syracuse, while South Carolina is a 22.5-point favorites over USC and UCLA is favored by 26.5 over Oklahoma State. Texas already advanced to the round of 16 with a win against Oregon on Sunday.

Monday’s action tips off at noon ET. Here are the lines and BPI projections for today’s games.

Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of latest time-stamp and are subject to change.


More: Every team’s tournament odds


Monday

(6) Alabama Crimson Tide
(3) Louisville Cardinals -8.5

Louisville, Kentucky, Noon ET

Money line:
Alabama Crimson Tide +310
Louisville Cardinals -395
Total: 132.5
Alabama: 23-10, 7-9 in SEC play
Louisville: 27-7, 15-3 in ACC play

BPI projection: Louisville Cardinals by 9.9 points, straight up 81.9% of the time


(10) Virginia Cavaliers
(2) Iowa Hawkeyes -13.5

Iowa City, Iowa, 2 p.m. ET

Money line:
Virginia Cavaliers +750
Iowa Hawkeyes -1200
Total: 135.5
Virginia: 19-11, 11-7 in ACC play
Iowa: 26-6, 15-3 in Big Ten play

BPI projection: Iowa Hawkeyes by 10.5 points, straight up 83.1% of the time


(6) Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(3) Ohio State Buckeyes -5.5

Columbus, Ohio, 4 p.m. ET

Money line:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish +190
Ohio State Buckeyes -230
Total: 148.5
Notre Dame: 22-10, 12-6 in ACC play
Ohio State: 26-7, 13-5 in Big Ten play

BPI projection: Ohio State Buckeyes by 3.4 points, straight up 62.5% of the time


(5) Kentucky Wildcats
(4) West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5

Morgantown, West Virginia, 5 p.m. ET

Money line:
Kentucky Wildcats +145
West Virginia Mountaineers -175
Total: 128.5
Kentucky: 23-10, 8-8 in SEC play
West Virginia: 27-6, 14-4 in Big 12 play

BPI projection: West Virginia Mountaineers by 0.4 points, straight up 51.7% of the time


(9) Syracuse Orange
(1) UConn Huskies -35.5

Storrs, Connecticut, 6 p.m. ET

Money line: Off
Total: 139.5
Syracuse: 23-8, 12-6 in ACC play
UConn: 34-0, 20-0 in Big East play

BPI projection: UConn Huskies by 30.3 points, straight up 99% of the time


(7) Illinois Fighting Illini
(2) Vanderbilt Commodores -13.5

Nashville, Tennessee, 7 p.m. ET

Money line:
Illinois Fighting Illini +650
Vanderbilt Commodores -1000
Total: 152.5
Illinois: 21-11, 9-9 in Big Ten play
Vanderbilt: 27-4, 13-3 in SEC play

BPI projection: Vanderbilt Commodores by 9.7 points, straight up 81.5% of the time


(9) USC Trojans
(1) South Carolina Gamecocks -22.5

Columbia, South Carolina, 8 p.m. ET

Money line:
USC Trojans +3000
South Carolina Gamecocks -10000
Total: 132.5
USC: 17-13, 9-9 in Big Ten play
South Carolina: 31-3, 15-1 in SEC play

BPI projection: South Carolina Gamecocks by 18.4 points, straight up 94.3% of the time


(8) Oklahoma State Cowgirls
(1) UCLA Bruins -26.5

Los Angeles, 10 p.m. ET

Money line:
Oklahoma State Cowgirls +4000
UCLA Bruins -50000
Total: 138.5
Oklahoma State: 23-9, 12-6 in Big 12 play
UCLA: 31-1, 18-0 in Big Ten play

BPI projection: UCLA Bruins by 22.5 points, straight up 96.9% of the time


The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team’s W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily.

Editor’s note: An error relating to individual team records in first-round games has been corrected.



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