Nearing the end of pool play on Monday, the top of the 2026 World Baseball Classic odds board looked identical to the way it did when the tournament began: The three favorites — USA (-115), Dominican Republic (+350) and Japan (+400) — had the exact same odds as they did entering the tournament.
However, Italy’s upset win over USA on Tuesday has added a little chaos to the mix. Dominican Republic, safely through to the quarterfinal round, is now the favorite at +190, slightly ahead of USA (+220) and Japan (undefeated and also through) at +250.
Italy (22-1) plays Mexico (20-1) on Wednesday night. If Italy wins, then both they and Team USA will move on — and presumably, the odds may tip back towards the American team. However, if Mexico wins in nine innings, it all comes down to runs scored: If Mexico scores at least five runs, then they and the USA advance. If Mexico wins and scores between 1-4 runs, then Italy also advances and the USA is eliminated.
For latest odds go to DraftKings Sportsbook
