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2023 U.S. Open predictions, best bets, expert picks by Chris Fallica

“Bear Bets” are real bets that Chris “Bear” Falika actually makes.

The 123rd U.S. Open will be played Thursday through Sunday at Los Angeles Country Club, making the Los Angeles area the site of a major for the first time since 1995.

world number one player, Scotty Scheffler is the current favorite to win the event FOX Bet +700.

Since this is one of the biggest tournaments of the year, I offer you my best bets. Let’s take a deeper look at the bets I’ve made for this event.

Scotty Scheffler: Top 10 (-120)

I wouldn’t bet on Scheffler pregame because I found him to be more expensive in-game, like Jon Rahm at Augusta National. But top-10 prices are attractive for a player who is statistically the best player on tour from tee to green.

His worst finish since the calendar flipped to 2023 was a tie for 12th, with eight top-five finishes. Combine that with seven top-10s in his last nine majors, and you have to be willing to lose that bet. I’ll wait for a spot to jump into the winning bet live, but count me in on this top ten bet.

Patrick Cantley: +1400 win, Top 20 (-133)

I haven’t followed him at a major since the 2019 Masters, and he played on Sunday. He’s burned through a lot of money in majors since then, but he’s had some good results on his own lately — T-9, T-14, T-8, T-14 in the past four majors.

It took him some time to get used to the new equipment this year, but aside from a final-round 78 at the Memorial Open, he has been consistent over the past few months, finishing outside the top 20 twice since missing the cut at the Phoenix Open in February.

Only Scheffler has been better this year in terms of stroke count off the tee, which is crucial to success here. I think he’ll show up on Sunday.

Bryson DeChambeau: +4000 to win, Top 10+360

DeChambeau seemed to turn a corner at the PGA Championship, finishing in a tie for fourth. He finally looks healthy and seems like he’s playing without much outside pressure (for the first time in a long time).

Remember, he’s a major winner and won this tournament at Winged Foot with a 70, just like LACC. He can certainly chase down some par 4s and hit the ball on the course.

I heard he spent a lot of time preparing at LACC and I think he has a great chance this week for a good price.

Xander Schauffele: Top 10+200, Top 20 (-110)

Schauffele was equally solid and reliable on a U.S. Open-style course. He hasn’t won yet — I’m sure he’ll have winning backers in Southern California this week — but I’ll stick with betting on him, top 10 and top 20.

His U.S. Open record is tied for fifth, tied for six, tied for third, fifth, tied for seven and tied for 14th. Not to mention he’s playing really well now too. He’s only dropped out of the top 20 once since the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill in early March, and he’s been consistently consistent from tee to green (eighth).

Brooks Koepka: Top 10 (+130), Top 20 (-175)

LACC makes some comparisons with Shinnecock and Erin Hills. common theme? It was there that Koepka won the 2017 and ’18 U.S. Open titles.

Koepka can easily win two majors this season, and I’d be surprised if he doesn’t play this week. If necessary, I will participate in the top 10 and top 20 markets and look for a live opportunity to win.

Jon Ram: Top Espanyol (-310)

It’s a good juice, and some might not want to put it, but it’s essentially a head-to-head battle between Ram and Sergio Garcia. Lahm will have to break down and one of the other Spaniards will have to play the game of their lives to come out of this gamble as the underdog.

head to head: adam scott +105 and Ren Shunzai
head to head: Sean Lowry +115 with Ren Chengcai

In case you can’t tell, those bets are a draw for Im, who has played in 11 majors outside of Augusta National — he’s been in the top 20 but missed the cut in six of them.

I wasn’t in good form this week either, missing the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab cuts, and finishing outside the top 40 at the Memorial Tournament (T-41).

Max Homa: Missed promotion (+220)

Homa has one top-30 finish (tied for 13th in the 2022 PGA Championship) and has missed the cut in nine of 15 career majors. He’s made the cut just once in four attempts on the U.S. Open course, so don’t get too attached to the “California” factor, despite playing his best golf in California earlier this year.

Since a runner-up finish at Riviera in February, he’s dropped out of the top 15 twice (not counting missed cuts) — both times, however, in majors. His green percentage is also below tour average, and finding the rough at the U.S. Open is never a good thing.

Tony Finau: Miss promotion (+200)

Finau missed the cut at the Schwab Challenge and struggled in the PGA Championship (tied for 72nd).

It was a major event in which Finau never really found success. He has missed Open Championship cuts in the last two years and four of his last six.

However, when he made the cut, he was already in the top 15 — fifth in 2018 and eighth in 2020. So if he does make the cut, he might make some money. If he starts hot, look for potential live betting opportunities.

Chris “The Bear” Fallica has covered sports for nearly three decades. While college football has always been his focus, he also enjoys the NFL, football, golf, tennis, MLB, NHL, and horse racing and bets on them “once in a while.” Chris recently won the inaugural Circa Soccer Invitational and finished in the top 10 of the Nugget Soccer Tournament. He is a multiple qualifier for the NHC Handicap Championships. Remember, “The less you bet, the more you lose when you win!” Follow him on Twitter @Lens.

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